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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+9.8%) | 15 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 8% ±13 | 13% ±27 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 271 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+6.9%) | 10 | 1.3% | 6h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 488 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,016.57–3,052.97 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 2.0% | 12h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 41% ±15 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 12% ±4 | 41% ±15 | 56% ±27 | 62% ±39 | 1.5d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 237 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,001.73 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 2.0% | 10h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 64% ±24 | 47% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 33% ±9 | 65% ±23 | 73% ±39 | 77% ±58 | 10h | 2.15% | 2.17% | 98 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,974.76 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.8% | 1.7d | 2.7d ago · 97× | 77% ±19 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 47 | 61% ±9 | 77% ±18 | 92% ±20 | 93% ±28 | 2h | 2.29% | 1.94% | 121 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,965.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,940.13 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 4.7% | 2.0d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 71% ±21 | 62% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 50% ±9 | 71% ±20 | 86% ±28 | 91% ±32 | 4h | 2.86% | 1.05% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,928.22–2,930.06 (-1.2%) | 1.8 | 4.9% | 2.3d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 60% ±19 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 62 | 32% ±7 | 59% ±19 | 78% ±27 | 92% ±26 | 12h | 2.30% | 1.39% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.08–2,915.52 (-1.7%) | 2.5 | 2.7% | 14h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 37% ±15 | 52% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 48 | 10% ±4 | 37% ±15 | 54% ±26 | 65% ±38 | 3.3d | 2.68% | 1.74% | 252 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,965.16 | 2,928.22 | 2,985.42 | stop | -0.46% |