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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+9.7%) | 15 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 12% ±24 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 279 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+6.6%) | 10 | 1.2% | 7h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 489 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,016.57–3,052.97 (+1.6%) | 2.6 | 1.9% | 11h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 41% ±15 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 12% ±4 | 41% ±15 | 56% ±27 | 63% ±39 | 1.5d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 239 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,001.73 (+1.1%) | 1.8 | 1.9% | 9h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 65% ±23 | 47% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 34% ±9 | 66% ±23 | 74% ±35 | 77% ±58 | 10h | 2.15% | 2.17% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,978.15 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.6% | 1.7d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 74% ±18 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 47 | 58% ±8 | 75% ±18 | 90% ±22 | 93% ±30 | 3h | 2.29% | 1.94% | 133 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,967.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,940.13 (-0.9%) | 1.5 | 4.5% | 1.9d | 2.5d ago · 72× | 65% ±23 | 62% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 42% ±9 | 65% ±22 | 81% ±31 | 90% ±34 | 6h | 2.86% | 1.05% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,928.22–2,930.06 (-1.3%) | 2.0 | 4.7% | 2.2d | 2.5d ago · 106× | 54% ±20 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 62 | 26% ±7 | 53% ±20 | 72% ±31 | 90% ±30 | 20h | 2.30% | 1.39% | 150 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,917.22 (-1.7%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 16h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 40% ±15 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 13% ±4 | 40% ±14 | 62% ±25 | 72% ±36 | 1.5d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 265 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.08–2,907.18 (-2.0%) | 3.2 | 1.6% | 5h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 30% ±15 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±14 | 44% ±27 | 57% ±40 | 3.2d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 236 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,967.69 | 2,928.22 | 2,989.11 | stop | -0.23% |