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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+9.1%) | 16 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 12% ±24 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 284 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,154.9 (+5.7%) | 10.0 | 1.3% | 7h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 479 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,016.57–3,052.97 (+1.0%) | 1.8 | 1.8% | 10h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 54% ±17 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 20% ±5 | 54% ±17 | 66% ±28 | 69% ±40 | 19h | 2.09% | 1.94% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,001.73 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 1.8% | 8h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 80% ±20 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 62% ±9 | 81% ±19 | 85% ±29 | 86% ±49 | 2h | 1.98% | 2.03% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,986.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,981.53 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 2.6d ago · 65× | 88% ±24 | 41% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 53% ±18 | 29 | 82% ±12 | 89% ±24 | 89% ±44 | 89% | 1h | 1.94% | 1.97% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 2,940.13 (-1.5%) | 2.7 | 4.1% | 1.8d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 55% ±22 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 18% ±7 | 56% ±22 | 76% ±32 | 89% ±36 | 20h | 2.85% | 1.03% | 117 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,928.22–2,930.06 (-1.9%) | 3.3 | 4.3% | 2.0d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 40% ±16 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 62 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±16 | 61% ±28 | 82% ±34 | 1.6d | 2.30% | 1.39% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,918.91 (-2.2%) | 4.0 | 3.0% | 19h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 34% ±12 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 7% ±3 | 34% ±12 | 56% ±21 | 74% ±29 | 2.3d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 369 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.08–2,907.18 (-2.6%) | 4.7 | 1.5% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 59× | 19% ±11 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 39% ±23 | 60% ±36 | 3.9d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 309 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,986.03 | 2,930.06 | 3,018.76 | stop | -0.00% |