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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,258.11–3,301.49 (+9.5%) | 16 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 11% ±24 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 283 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,149.64 (+5.9%) | 10 | 1.3% | 7h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 483 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,091.79–3,135.17 (+3.9%) | 6.8 | 1.8% | 13h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 11% ±8 | 55% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 27% ±21 | 48% ±37 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 309 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,001.73 (+0.9%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 9h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 69% ±23 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 42% ±10 | 71% ±22 | 77% ±33 | 78% ±57 | 7h | 1.98% | 2.03% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,984.14 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 2.9d ago · 97× | 76% ±18 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 60% ±8 | 77% ±18 | 91% ±21 | 93% ±28 | 2h | 2.11% | 1.89% | 131 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,974.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,972.76 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 90% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 48 | 74% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 95% ±17 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.60% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAL | 2,920.63–2,936.31 (-1.3%) | 2.2 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 2.4d ago · 106× | 44% ±14 | 58% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 35% ±12 | 62 | 13% ±4 | 43% ±14 | 64% ±23 | 80% ±30 | 1.4d | 2.61% | 1.26% | 300 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,903.77–2,910.23 (-2.2%) | 3.7 | 1.8% | 7h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 26% ±13 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 26% ±13 | 44% ±25 | 60% ±39 | 3.1d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 272 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,974.82 | 2,928.15 | 2,995.57 | expired | -0.22% |