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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-31 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,252.54–3,307.85 (+9.3%) | 18 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 271 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,148.83 (+5.9%) | 11 | 1.2% | 6h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 35% ±27 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 509 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,010.56–3,045.13 (+1.2%) | 2.3 | 1.8% | 8h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 45% ±16 | 55% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 13% ±4 | 47% ±16 | 60% ±27 | 65% ±42 | 1.3d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 230 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,998.68 (+0.8%) | 1.5 | 1.8% | 9h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 68% ±24 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 43% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 77% ±34 | 78% ±58 | 7h | 1.98% | 2.03% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,984.14 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 75% ±18 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 57% ±8 | 76% ±17 | 91% ±20 | 93% ±29 | 3h | 2.11% | 1.89% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,974.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,972.76 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 1.7d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 90% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 48 | 74% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 95% ±17 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.60% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,906.85–2,931.05 (-1.5%) | 2.8 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 35% ±13 | 55% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 38% ±12 | 62 | 8% ±3 | 35% ±13 | 54% ±23 | 71% ±31 | 2.0d | 2.64% | 1.45% | 328 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,872.28–2,879.2 (-3.2%) | 6.0 | 0.4% | 35m | 1.4d ago · 47× | 12% ±11 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±11 | 20% ±23 | 31% ±41 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 213 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,974.62 | 2,998.68 | 2,913.28 | target | +0.45% |