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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,250.91–3,304.76 (+9.1%) | 17 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 9% ±21 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 277 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,149.93 (+5.7%) | 11 | 1.2% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±13 | 35% ±27 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 502 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,015.3–3,048.96 (+1.2%) | 2.3 | 1.7% | 9h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 45% ±16 | 55% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 13% ±4 | 46% ±16 | 60% ±27 | 65% ±38 | 1.3d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 231 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,998.68 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 76% ±21 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 52% ±10 | 77% ±20 | 82% ±31 | 83% ±52 | 4h | 1.98% | 2.03% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,984.14 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 97× | 79% ±19 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 63% ±9 | 80% ±18 | 91% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 2.11% | 1.89% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,978.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,972.76 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.7% | 1.8d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 88% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 48 | 73% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.60% | 144 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,928.15–2,931.16 (-1.6%) | 3.0 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 45% ±17 | 57% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 11% ±4 | 45% ±16 | 65% ±27 | 85% ±31 | 1.4d | 2.60% | 1.16% | 209 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,907.6–2,918.96 (-2.0%) | 3.8 | 2.8% | 17h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 28% ±11 | 52% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 48 | 6% ±2 | 28% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 65% ±31 | 2.6d | 2.68% | 1.74% | 361 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,860.48–2,880.67 (-3.3%) | 6.2 | 0.4% | 33m | 1.2d ago · 47× | 11% ±10 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 19% ±22 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 219 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,978.68 | 2,998.68 | 2,913.28 | target | +0.87% |