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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,257.64–3,304.76 (+9.1%) | 21 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 7% ±21 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 266 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,143.2 (+5.3%) | 12 | 1.2% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±12 | 33% ±26 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 533 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 3,015.3–3,048.96 (+1.0%) | 2.3 | 1.4% | 8h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 45% ±16 | 55% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 13% ±4 | 46% ±16 | 60% ±27 | 65% ±38 | 1.3d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 236 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,995.63 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 82% ±19 | 50% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 62% ±10 | 79% ±19 | 82% ±31 | 83% ±52 | 2h | 1.82% | 1.89% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,987.48 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.4% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 82% ±19 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 71% ±9 | 83% ±18 | 91% ±25 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 97 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,986.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,972.76–2,973.28 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 3.0% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 79% ±14 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 62 | 61% ±7 | 79% ±14 | 89% ±19 | 95% ±19 | 2h | 2.30% | 1.39% | 200 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-1.8%) | 4.3 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 2.6d ago · 72× | 38% ±18 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 8% ±4 | 37% ±18 | 62% ±32 | 88% ±32 | 1.8d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 167 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,916.33–2,922.3 (-2.1%) | 5.0 | 2.8% | 23h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 21% ±10 | 52% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 43% ±20 | 69% ±29 | 4.0d | 2.50% | 1.85% | 421 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.6 (-2.6%) | 6.2 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.6d ago · 30× | 9% ±8 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 27% ±21 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 305 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 2,867.21–2,873.94 (-3.8%) | 8.9 | 0.3% | 44m | 1.2d ago · 47× | 4% ±6 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 10% ±15 | 24% ±34 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 250 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,986.09 | 2,973.28 | 2,999.21 | stop | -2.05% |