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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,257.64–3,304.76 (+9.3%) | 30 | 0.2% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±13 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,143.2 (+5.4%) | 18 | 0.9% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 24% ±25 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 456 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,015.3–3,048.96 (+1.1%) | 3.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 27% ±13 | 56% ±14 | 15% ±10 | 29% ±13 | 49 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±12 | 43% ±24 | 54% ±37 | 5.5d | 2.09% | 1.88% | 292 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,995.63 (+0.5%) | 1.6 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 71% ±22 | 50% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 41% ±9 | 70% ±21 | 77% ±34 | 78% ±47 | 7h | 1.82% | 1.89% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,990.82 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 1.5% | 10h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 70% ±17 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 51% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 87% ±21 | 92% ±26 | 4h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 177 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,981.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,978.86 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.2% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 89% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 41% ±14 | 48 | 74% ±7 | 89% ±13 | 94% ±16 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.60% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 2,973.28 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 2.2% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 80% ±14 | 54% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 62 | 61% ±7 | 80% ±14 | 88% ±19 | 96% ±17 | 2h | 2.45% | 1.24% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-1.7%) | 5.5 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 28% ±16 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 28% ±16 | 53% ±31 | 84% ±36 | 2.8d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 186 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,923.98 (-1.9%) | 6.3 | 2.2% | 21h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 18% ±9 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±9 | 40% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 4.5d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 442 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,913.28 (-2.3%) | 7.4 | 1.1% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 59× | 10% ±7 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 2% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 35% ±19 | 64% ±30 | 4.6d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 415 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.6 (-2.5%) | 8.0 | 0.8% | 3h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 5% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 22% ±18 | 43% ±32 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 358 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,860.48–2,880.67 (-3.4%) | 11 | 0.2% | 14m | 1.5d ago · 47× | 2% ±4 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±13 | 20% ±32 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 240 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,981.35 | 2,973.28 | 3,002.86 | stop | -5.01% |