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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-01 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,257.64–3,304.76 (+9.0%) | 30 | 0.2% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 4% ±16 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 200 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,143.2 (+5.2%) | 17 | 0.9% | 5h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 24% ±25 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 471 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,022.04–3,048.96 (+1.1%) | 3.8 | 0.9% | 6h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 26% ±12 | 56% ±14 | 15% ±10 | 29% ±13 | 49 | 5% ±3 | 26% ±12 | 43% ±24 | 54% ±37 | 5.8d | 2.09% | 1.88% | 293 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,994.17–2,994.38 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 77% ±17 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 60% ±8 | 78% ±16 | 88% ±22 | 91% ±28 | 2h | 1.89% | 1.86% | 152 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,987.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,979.96 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 2.2% | 1.1d | 2.5d ago · 106× | 80% ±14 | 54% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 62 | 61% ±7 | 80% ±14 | 88% ±19 | 96% ±17 | 2h | 2.45% | 1.24% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,974.97 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 2.2% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 69% ±18 | 42% ±14 | 17% ±11 | 40% ±14 | 49 | 48% ±8 | 69% ±18 | 85% ±25 | 93% ±24 | 5h | 2.00% | 1.57% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-1.9%) | 6.3 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 2.5d ago · 72× | 23% ±15 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±15 | 49% ±31 | 82% ±38 | 3.1d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 180 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,925.65 (-2.1%) | 6.9 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 85× | 16% ±8 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 3% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 37% ±19 | 62% ±29 | 4.6d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 451 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,919.73 (-2.3%) | 7.5 | 1.7% | 11h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 10% ±7 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 34% ±19 | 64% ±30 | 4.7d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 413 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.6 (-2.7%) | 8.9 | 0.8% | 3h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 4% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 21% ±17 | 42% ±32 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 388 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,860.48–2,880.67 (-3.6%) | 12 | 0.2% | 14m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 228 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,987.89 | 2,979.96 | 3,006.5 | stop | -4.30% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,987.89 | 2,974.97 | 3,007.82 | stop | -4.30% |