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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,284.56–3,291.3 (+4.1%) | 4.1 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 38% ±21 | 46% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 7% ±4 | 38% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 81% ±44 | 1.8d | 3.44% | 1.26% | 120 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,266.5 (+3.5%) | 3.5 | 1.4% | 6h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 35% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 6% ±2 | 35% ±12 | 54% ±22 | 74% ±29 | 2.3d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 362 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,176.86 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 2.2% | 9h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 89% ±21 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 60% ±13 | 89% ±21 | 92% ±30 | 92% | 2h | 2.07% | 1.86% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,156.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 3,143.75–3,152.93 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 106× | 85% ±14 | 57% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 39% ±12 | 63 | 72% ±7 | 85% ±14 | 89% ±20 | 93% ±24 | 1h | 2.55% | 1.42% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,093.6 (-2.0%) | 2.0 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 45% ±16 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 19% ±5 | 45% ±16 | 65% ±27 | 72% ±39 | 1.3d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 208 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,907.6–3,008.57 (-4.7%) | 4.8 | 2.6% | 13h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 35% ±16 | 47% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 6% ±3 | 36% ±17 | 64% ±28 | 73% ±39 | 1.5d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 194 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,978.99 (-5.6%) | 5.7 | 7.4% | 3.7d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 21% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 40% ±27 | 65% ±38 | 4.6d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 235 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-7.1%) | 7.2 | 8.2% | 3.4d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 17% ±13 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±13 | 39% ±29 | 74% ±39 | 4.4d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 195 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,888.88–2,900.87 (-8.1%) | 8.2 | 2.0% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 26% ±17 | 49% ±30 | 5.7d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 450 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,847.02–2,880.67 (-8.7%) | 8.9 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 4% ±6 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±14 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 273 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 3,156.43 | 2,931.16 | 3,226.54 | expired | +1.13% |