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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-07 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,284.56–3,291.3 (+4.7%) | 5.1 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 30% ±20 | 46% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 5% ±4 | 30% ±19 | 53% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 2.8d | 3.44% | 1.26% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,263.93 (+4.0%) | 4.4 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 29% ±11 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 66% ±29 | 3.7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 410 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,176.86 (+1.3%) | 1.4 | 2.1% | 8h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 70% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 36% ±11 | 71% ±25 | 81% ±39 | 91% ±40 | 9h | 2.07% | 1.86% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 3,143.59–3,157.12 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.9% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 104× | 89% ±13 | 50% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 75% ±7 | 89% ±13 | 91% ±19 | 93% ±30 | 1h | 2.09% | 1.73% | 142 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,137.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,097.83 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 2.4d ago · 85× | 57% ±17 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 33% ±7 | 57% ±17 | 75% ±26 | 78% ±36 | 14h | 2.63% | 1.46% | 189 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,907.6–3,008.57 (-4.1%) | 4.4 | 2.4% | 12h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 38% ±17 | 47% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 7% ±4 | 39% ±16 | 67% ±28 | 77% ±37 | 1.4d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 201 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,978.99 (-5.1%) | 5.5 | 7.0% | 3.5d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 22% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±13 | 42% ±27 | 67% ±38 | 4.3d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 235 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-6.6%) | 7.1 | 7.7% | 3.2d | 2.5d ago · 72× | 18% ±13 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 40% ±29 | 74% ±39 | 4.4d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 194 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,888.88–2,900.87 (-7.5%) | 8.2 | 1.8% | 5h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 25% ±17 | 49% ±30 | 5.7d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 450 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,847.02–2,880.67 (-8.2%) | 8.9 | 0.6% | 59m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±6 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±31 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 274 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,137.53 | 3,097.83 | 3,263.93 | target | +1.00% |