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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,218.55 (+2.9%) | 9.3 | 0.6% | 5h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±16 | 35% ±30 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 399 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,156.22 (+0.9%) | 2.9 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 47% ±21 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 19% ±7 | 47% ±21 | 62% ±36 | 74% ±50 | 1.3d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 133 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,128.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,077.94–3,126.09 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.2% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 90% ±12 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 71% ±7 | 90% ±12 | 92% ±18 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.54% | 1.58% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,120.74 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.4% | 14h | 6.6d ago · 38× | 93% ±19 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 81% ±12 | 93% ±19 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 2h | 2.36% | 1.62% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,089.49 (-1.2%) | 4.0 | 1.7% | 21h | 2.4d ago · 106× | 33% ±14 | 54% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 64 | 6% ±3 | 33% ±14 | 52% ±26 | 74% ±35 | 2.8d | 2.38% | 1.24% | 245 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,075.43 (-1.7%) | 5.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 20% ±9 | 58% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±13 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 4.3d | 2.57% | 1.46% | 445 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 2,978.48 (-4.8%) | 16 | 2.6% | 1.3d | 2.4d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 24% ±34 | > 7d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 240 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-6.3%) | 21 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 72× | 2% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 4% ±11 | 8% ±24 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 223 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,920.56 (-6.6%) | 22 | 2.2% | 13h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 2% ±4 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±8 | 18% ±28 | > 7d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 282 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-7.3%) | 24 | 0.6% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 1% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 13% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 363 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.8%) | 25 | 0.3% | 20m | 1.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±23 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 71 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 3,128.48 | 3,144.82 | 2,930.8 | target | +0.03% |