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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,272.05 (+5.1%) | 13 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 4% ±4 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 27% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 433 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,218.55 (+3.4%) | 8.9 | 0.8% | 6h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±16 | 36% ±30 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 404 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,120.74 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 1.8% | 19h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 86% ±23 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 63% ±13 | 86% ±23 | 91% ±32 | 91% | 2h | 2.19% | 1.85% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,113.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,110.29 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.0% | 20h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 89% ±12 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 75% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 94% ±17 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.56% | 144 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,089.49 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 2.0% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 106× | 50% ±19 | 54% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 64 | 19% ±6 | 50% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 84% ±36 | 1.0d | 2.38% | 1.24% | 159 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,075.43 (-1.2%) | 3.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 37% ±13 | 58% ±14 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±13 | 50 | 9% ±3 | 37% ±13 | 57% ±23 | 69% ±32 | 1.8d | 2.57% | 1.46% | 325 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,020.42 (-3.0%) | 8.0 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 8% ±6 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 30% ±18 | 57% ±29 | 5.7d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 457 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-3.7%) | 9.9 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 6% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 18% ±21 | 24% ±37 | > 7d | 2.54% | 1.58% | 228 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-5.9%) | 16 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 2.4d ago · 72× | 3% ±6 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 5% ±13 | 15% ±31 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 205 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-6.8%) | 18 | 0.8% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±4 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 21% ±25 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 430 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.3%) | 20 | 0.3% | 25m | 1.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±15 | 10% ±30 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 152 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 3,113.94 | 2,930.8 | 3,160.22 | stop | +0.41% |