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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,272.05 (+4.9%) | 11 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 18% ±14 | 35% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 521 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,218.55 (+3.2%) | 6.9 | 0.9% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 13% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 27% ±17 | 45% ±29 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 454 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,120.74 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 24h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 89% ±25 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 71% ±15 | 89% ±25 | 95% ±31 | 95% | 1h | 2.19% | 1.85% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,118.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,110.29–3,115.04 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 85% ±13 | 49% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 64 | 71% ±7 | 85% ±13 | 91% ±18 | 95% ±22 | 1h | 2.26% | 1.38% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,075.43 (-1.4%) | 3.0 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 38% ±13 | 59% ±13 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±13 | 51 | 10% ±3 | 37% ±13 | 59% ±23 | 69% ±34 | 1.7d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 309 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,028.41 (-2.9%) | 6.3 | 1.2% | 7h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 14% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 36% ±20 | 65% ±30 | 4.4d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 420 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-3.9%) | 8.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 8% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 23% ±23 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 2.54% | 1.58% | 226 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-6.0%) | 13 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 2.6d ago · 72× | 3% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 26% ±38 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 226 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-7.0%) | 15 | 0.9% | 2h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 27% ±26 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 477 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.5%) | 16 | 0.4% | 31m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 0% ±2 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±10 | 10% ±26 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 215 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 3,118.82 | 2,930.8 | 3,160.22 | stop | +0.37% |