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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,272.05 (+5.1%) | 7.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 8% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 26% ±16 | 45% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 508 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,213.44 (+3.2%) | 4.8 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 25% ±10 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 41% ±20 | 61% ±30 | 4.1d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 433 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,126.09 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 20.9d ago · 44× | 85% ±23 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 66% ±12 | 86% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 95% | 2h | 2.19% | 1.85% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,115.04 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 104× | 94% ±10 | 51% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 52 | 82% ±6 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±14 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.49% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,114.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,110.29 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 90% ±12 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 76% ±7 | 90% ±12 | 94% ±16 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.56% | 137 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,065.21 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 1.4% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 44% ±15 | 59% ±13 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±13 | 51 | 16% ±4 | 44% ±15 | 66% ±25 | 74% ±35 | 1.3d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 260 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,052.37 (-2.0%) | 3.0 | 1.6% | 7h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 32% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±15 | 49% ±27 | 61% ±43 | 3.5d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 230 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-3.7%) | 5.7 | 2.5% | 14h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 27% ±14 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±14 | 48% ±28 | 59% ±43 | 3.7d | 2.54% | 1.58% | 216 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-5.9%) | 9.0 | 6.0% | 2.3d | 2.5d ago · 72× | 9% ±9 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 6.6d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 251 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-6.8%) | 10 | 1.4% | 3h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 37% ±29 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 474 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.4%) | 11 | 0.6% | 47m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 17% ±28 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 284 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,114.32 | 3,065.21 | 3,213.44 | target | -0.66% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 3,114.32 | 2,930.8 | 3,166.54 | expired | -0.66% |