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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,268.31 (+4.9%) | 7.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 9% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 27% ±17 | 46% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 482 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,213.44 (+3.1%) | 4.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 27% ±10 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 63% ±30 | 3.9d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 435 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,126.09 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 20.7d ago · 44× | 88% ±23 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 70% ±12 | 89% ±21 | 93% ±30 | 94% | 1h | 2.19% | 1.85% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,115.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,115.04–3,115.5 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.8% | 1.7d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 89% ±13 | 50% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 65 | 76% ±7 | 89% ±13 | 93% ±17 | 95% ±23 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.37% | 138 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,061.92–3,065.21 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 1.5% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 42% ±15 | 53% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 13% ±4 | 41% ±15 | 59% ±26 | 68% ±37 | 2.0d | 2.44% | 1.83% | 254 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-3.8%) | 5.5 | 2.6% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 29% ±15 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 6% ±3 | 29% ±15 | 50% ±28 | 61% ±43 | 3.2d | 2.54% | 1.58% | 208 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-5.9%) | 8.6 | 6.3% | 2.4d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 9% ±9 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 26% ±23 | 53% ±40 | 6.4d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 248 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-6.9%) | 10.0 | 1.5% | 3h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±15 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 456 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.4%) | 11 | 0.6% | 50m | 1.5d ago · 47× | 2% ±4 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±11 | 17% ±28 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 288 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,115.99 | 3,213.44 | 3,065.21 | stop | +0.58% |
| 14d | POC | long | 3,115.99 | 3,268.31 | 3,061.92 | stop | +0.58% |