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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,229.85 (+3.5%) | 4.7 | 1.2% | 9h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 19% ±11 | 53% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 41% ±24 | 61% ±36 | 4.9d | 2.15% | 1.39% | 292 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,180.22 (+1.9%) | 2.6 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 45% ±14 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 11% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 64% ±23 | 82% ±28 | 1.3d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 295 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,126.09 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 20.5d ago · 44× | 90% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 14% ±16 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 72% ±13 | 91% ±21 | 96% ±28 | 98% | 1h | 2.07% | 1.73% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,121.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,112.64–3,115.04 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 2.1d ago · 106× | 87% ±13 | 50% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 65 | 74% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 92% ±18 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.22% | 1.38% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,051.24–3,060.1 (-2.0%) | 2.6 | 1.7% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 37% ±14 | 53% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 11% ±4 | 37% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 66% ±35 | 2.3d | 2.44% | 1.83% | 288 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-4.0%) | 5.3 | 2.8% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 29% ±15 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 5% ±3 | 29% ±15 | 51% ±28 | 62% ±43 | 2.8d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 217 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-6.1%) | 8.2 | 6.6% | 2.6d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 10% ±10 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 27% ±24 | 56% ±40 | 5.9d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-7.0%) | 9.5 | 1.6% | 4h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±15 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 451 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.6%) | 10 | 0.7% | 54m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 2% ±4 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±12 | 19% ±29 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 288 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,121.13 | 3,180.22 | 3,060.1 | target | +6.95% |