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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,227.32 (+3.0%) | 4.2 | 1.2% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 23% ±13 | 53% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±13 | 46% ±26 | 64% ±38 | 4.0d | 2.15% | 1.39% | 250 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,172.55 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 1.4% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 50% ±17 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 24% ±6 | 49% ±17 | 70% ±27 | 85% ±32 | 1.0d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 203 → 5 | |
| at post · 3,134.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,115.04–3,126.09 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 83% ±13 | 49% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 65 | 66% ±6 | 83% ±12 | 90% ±17 | 94% ±21 | 1h | 2.21% | 1.42% | 208 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,065.21 (-2.2%) | 3.2 | 1.6% | 5h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 37% ±13 | 59% ±13 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±13 | 51 | 10% ±3 | 38% ±13 | 59% ±23 | 70% ±32 | 1.7d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 325 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,051.29 (-2.7%) | 3.8 | 1.7% | 8h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 29% ±13 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 29% ±13 | 48% ±24 | 66% ±35 | 3.5d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 287 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-4.4%) | 6.3 | 2.6% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 21% ±13 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±13 | 39% ±28 | 50% ±44 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 223 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-6.5%) | 9.3 | 6.3% | 2.5d | 2.6d ago · 72× | 8% ±8 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 22% ±21 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 261 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-7.4%) | 11 | 1.5% | 3h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 37% ±28 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 477 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-8.0%) | 11 | 0.6% | 51m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 15% ±27 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 286 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 3,134.8 | 3,144.82 | 2,930.8 | target | +6.10% |