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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,403.77 (+3.8%) | 5.4 | <0.1% | 9m | 3.1d ago · 97× | 23% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±19 | 61% ±29 | 4.3d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 447 → 11 | |
| 7D POC | 3,333.57 (+1.7%) | 2.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.9d ago · 104× | 47% ±18 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 13% ±5 | 47% ±18 | 60% ±32 | 69% ±45 | 1.3d | 2.28% | 1.49% | 169 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,277.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,270.26 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.1% | 4h | 13.6d ago · 55× | 86% ±20 | 61% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 68% ±11 | 86% ±19 | 89% ±30 | 89% ±43 | 1h | 2.59% | 1.90% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,182.99 (-2.9%) | 4.0 | 1.4% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 38× | 23% ±24 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 22% ±23 | 55% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 2.3d | 2.25% | 1.62% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.37–3,157.76 (-3.7%) | 5.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 29% ±14 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 5% ±3 | 28% ±14 | 51% ±27 | 62% ±39 | 2.7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 231 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,133.26 (-4.4%) | 6.2 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 18% ±8 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 40% ±18 | 62% ±29 | 4.6d | 2.57% | 1.42% | 477 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 3,120.94 (-4.8%) | 6.7 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 14% ±10 | 44% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±10 | 30% ±23 | 55% ±37 | 6.3d | 2.00% | 1.57% | 273 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-6.1%) | 8.6 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 8% ±6 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±28 | 6.4d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 488 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,977.98 (-9.1%) | 13 | 5.8% | 2.9d | 2.7d ago · 72× | 3% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 9% ±15 | 25% ±35 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 260 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,905.44 (-11.4%) | 16 | 1.4% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±11 | 24% ±24 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 483 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,836.05–2,899.13 (-11.6%) | 16 | 0.9% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 0% ±2 | 57% ±19 | 14% ±14 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 2.83% | 1.82% | 232 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,277.8 | 3,471.04 | 3,120.94 | expired | +1.21% |