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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,403.77 (+3.4%) | 5.4 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.5d ago · 97× | 22% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±19 | 60% ±29 | 4.5d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 446 → 11 | |
| 7D POC | 3,333.57 (+1.3%) | 2.0 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 104× | 53% ±19 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 17% ±6 | 53% ±19 | 68% ±31 | 75% ±43 | 21h | 2.28% | 1.49% | 154 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,291.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,273.77 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 1.1% | 6h | 12.9d ago · 55× | 81% ±20 | 61% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 57% ±10 | 82% ±20 | 88% ±28 | 88% ±45 | 2h | 2.59% | 1.90% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,176.68 (-3.5%) | 5.5 | 1.4% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 10% ±15 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±15 | 35% ±42 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.62% | 93 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.37–3,157.76 (-4.1%) | 6.5 | 2.3% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 18% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±12 | 34% ±26 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 3,131.48–3,136.68 (-4.7%) | 7.5 | 3.1% | 23h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 11% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 14% ±9 | 34% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 28% ±17 | 52% ±28 | 5.1d | 2.28% | 1.49% | 494 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-6.5%) | 10 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 5% ±5 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 22% ±16 | 46% ±28 | > 7d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 486 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,977.98 (-9.5%) | 15 | 5.2% | 2.6d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 3% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±13 | 16% ±29 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 237 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,905.44 (-11.7%) | 19 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±23 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 456 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,829.74–2,899.13 (-11.9%) | 19 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±12 | 9% ±29 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.80% | 178 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.