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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,393.5 (+5.7%) | 9.1 | 0.2% | 25m | 2.6d ago · 97× | 5% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±16 | 38% ±30 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 418 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 3,306.18 (+3.0%) | 4.8 | 2.2% | 20h | 2.4d ago · 104× | 16% ±12 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 29% ±27 | 50% ±44 | 6.4d | 2.28% | 1.45% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,294.85 (+2.6%) | 4.2 | 2.2% | 19h | 2.5d ago · 70× | 24% ±13 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±13 | 48% ±26 | 66% ±38 | 3.6d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 248 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 3,238.32–3,274.52 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.1d ago · 50× | 60% ±25 | 48% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 27% ±9 | 60% ±25 | 78% ±36 | 94% ±32 | 17h | 3.51% | 1.24% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,210.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,196.96–3,207.3 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 85% ±22 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 65% ±12 | 85% ±22 | 87% ±38 | 88% | 1h | 2.77% | 1.80% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 3,191.79–3,194.89 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 1.3% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 74% ±16 | 55% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 35% ±13 | 52 | 55% ±7 | 74% ±16 | 85% ±22 | 87% ±33 | 4h | 2.49% | 1.46% | 173 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.39–3,150.43 (-1.9%) | 3.0 | 2.5% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 84× | 44% ±16 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 10% ±4 | 44% ±16 | 70% ±26 | 80% ±35 | 1.3d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 219 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 3,113.91 (-3.0%) | 4.8 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 2.2d ago · 85× | 23% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±13 | 40% ±26 | 59% ±39 | 5.5d | 2.00% | 1.57% | 249 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-4.2%) | 6.7 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.1d ago · 59× | 12% ±7 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 34% ±18 | 60% ±29 | 5.2d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 461 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 2,972.06 (-7.4%) | 12 | 4.3% | 2.1d | 2.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 12% ±16 | 29% ±34 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 274 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.43 (-9.4%) | 15 | 1.1% | 4h | 22.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±11 | 25% ±24 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 508 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,210.67 | 3,113.91 | 3,334.06 | expired | +0.88% |