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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,393.5 (+5.7%) | 8.5 | 0.2% | 27m | 2.5d ago · 97× | 6% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±16 | 40% ±30 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 436 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 3,306.18 (+3.0%) | 4.4 | 2.4% | 22h | 2.3d ago · 104× | 17% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 31% ±27 | 51% ±44 | 6.2d | 2.28% | 1.45% | 199 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,294.85 (+2.6%) | 3.9 | 2.4% | 21h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 27% ±15 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 6% ±3 | 27% ±15 | 51% ±28 | 65% ±42 | 2.8d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 215 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 3,233.15–3,274.52 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 1.4% | 7h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 69% ±24 | 48% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 38% ±10 | 68% ±24 | 82% ±33 | 94% ±32 | 9h | 3.51% | 1.24% | 85 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,211.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 3,196.96–3,205.17 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 83% ±16 | 55% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 35% ±13 | 52 | 67% ±8 | 83% ±16 | 90% ±23 | 91% ±33 | 2h | 2.49% | 1.46% | 118 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.39–3,150.43 (-1.9%) | 2.8 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 47% ±16 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 12% ±4 | 47% ±16 | 71% ±26 | 82% ±34 | 1.2d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 215 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 3,113.91 (-3.0%) | 4.5 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 2.1d ago · 85× | 24% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±3 | 24% ±13 | 41% ±27 | 61% ±39 | 4.9d | 2.00% | 1.57% | 234 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-4.2%) | 6.2 | 1.5% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 13% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 34% ±19 | 61% ±30 | 5.0d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 439 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 3,052.2–3,072.88 (-4.3%) | 6.4 | 1.4% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 9% ±9 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 18% ±20 | 28% ±36 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.80% | 253 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,972.06 (-7.4%) | 11 | 4.6% | 2.2d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 4% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±17 | 33% ±35 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 283 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.43 (-9.5%) | 14 | 1.1% | 4h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±11 | 27% ±24 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 526 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,211.03 | 3,306.18 | 3,171.27 | stop | -1.22% |