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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,393.5 (+5.6%) | 7.8 | 0.2% | 29m | 2.5d ago · 97× | 7% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 23% ±17 | 43% ±29 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 451 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 3,294.85–3,306.18 (+2.6%) | 3.6 | 2.5% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 104× | 27% ±15 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 55 | 6% ±3 | 26% ±15 | 46% ±29 | 62% ±42 | 4.1d | 2.16% | 1.52% | 196 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 3,233.15–3,274.52 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 1.5% | 8h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 70% ±24 | 48% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 41% ±11 | 69% ±24 | 83% ±33 | 95% ±30 | 9h | 3.51% | 1.24% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,212.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,208.59 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 10h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 82% ±18 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 65% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 89% ±25 | 91% ±33 | 1h | 2.57% | 1.42% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,196.96 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 1.9% | 8h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 95% ±15 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 85% ±11 | 96% ±15 | 96% ±28 | 96% | 1h | 2.25% | 1.62% | 44 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.39–3,150.43 (-1.9%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 17h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 48% ±17 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 13% ±5 | 48% ±17 | 72% ±25 | 84% ±32 | 1.1d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 210 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 3,113.91 (-3.1%) | 4.3 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 2.1d ago · 85× | 26% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 6% ±3 | 26% ±14 | 43% ±28 | 61% ±43 | 4.9d | 2.00% | 1.57% | 222 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-4.2%) | 5.9 | 1.7% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 14% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 61% ±30 | 5.1d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 426 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 3,052.2–3,072.88 (-4.3%) | 6.0 | 1.5% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 11% ±10 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±11 | 20% ±22 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.80% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,972.06 (-7.5%) | 10 | 4.9% | 2.3d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 4% ±6 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±18 | 35% ±35 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 281 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.43 (-9.5%) | 13 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±12 | 29% ±25 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 526 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,212.34 | 3,306.18 | 3,175.31 | stop | -3.33% |