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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-21 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,403.77 (+16.2%) | 15 | 0.1% | 13m | 2.5d ago · 97× | 2% ±4 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±21 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 238 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,305.6 (+12.8%) | 12 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 104× | 10% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 28% ±33 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 2.28% | 1.45% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,287.97 (+12.2%) | 11 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 2.5d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 19% ±14 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 519 → 12 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,196.96 (+9.1%) | 8.4 | 2.9% | 14h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 5% ±5 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 474 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,162.11 (+7.9%) | 7.3 | 3.6% | 18h | 6.3d ago · 56× | 17% ±28 | 53% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±4 | 16% ±25 | 51% ±57 | 61% | 3.0d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,109.25 (+6.1%) | 5.7 | 5.9% | 2.1d | 2.3d ago · 79× | 5% ±8 | 30% ±14 | 12% ±10 | 58% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 12% ±20 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.70% | 187 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.39–3,150.43 (+5.4%) | 5.0 | 4.5% | 1.9d | 8.8d ago · 82× | 17% ±10 | 53% ±14 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±10 | 35% ±22 | 56% ±34 | 5.8d | 2.01% | 1.87% | 328 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 3,016.01–3,031.52 (+2.9%) | 2.7 | 2.0% | 10h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 46% ±23 | 50% ±20 | 15% ±15 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±23 | 67% ±38 | 88% ±37 | 1.2d | 3.58% | 1.21% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.7 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.1% | 2.8d | 2.3d ago · 67× | 92% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 14% ±12 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 87% ±8 | 91% ±16 | 96% ±20 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 1.58% | 1.27% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,929.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,907.43–2,915.41 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 71% ±22 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 45% ±17 | 33 | 51% ±10 | 71% ±22 | 75% ±38 | 79% ±57 | 4h | 2.78% | 1.92% | 94 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 2,929.92 | 2,907.43 | 3,196.96 | target | -2.04% |