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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,396.97 (+17.5%) | 15 | 0.2% | 34m | 3.0d ago · 97× | 2% ±4 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±20 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,306.29 (+14.4%) | 12 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 10% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 28% ±33 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 2.28% | 1.45% | 118 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,284.22 (+13.6%) | 11 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 19% ±14 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 520 → 12 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,195.85 (+10.6%) | 8.8 | 3.1% | 15h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 4% ±4 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±14 | 39% ±28 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 483 → 12 | |
| 14D POC | 3,110.09 (+7.6%) | 6.3 | 6.4% | 2.3d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 5% ±7 | 30% ±14 | 12% ±10 | 58% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 10% ±17 | 20% ±35 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.70% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,070.52 (+6.2%) | 5.2 | 2.1% | 6h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 23% ±24 | 53% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 22% ±23 | 51% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 3.0d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 78 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,029.52–3,071.1 (+4.8%) | 4.0 | 1.9% | 9h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 37% ±21 | 50% ±20 | 15% ±15 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 7% ±4 | 37% ±21 | 57% ±37 | 81% ±44 | 2.0d | 3.58% | 1.21% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 2,928.16 (+1.3%) | 1.1 | 6.8% | 2.8d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 78% ±19 | 36% ±16 | 14% ±12 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 65% ±9 | 78% ±19 | 92% ±22 | 94% ±26 | 2h | 1.58% | 1.27% | 111 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,920.37–2,993.14 (+1.1%) | 0.9 | 5.1% | 1.7d | 9.3d ago · 82× | 76% ±15 | 53% ±14 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 51% ±7 | 76% ±15 | 85% ±22 | 87% ±33 | 4h | 2.01% | 1.87% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,899.57–2,904.77 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 86% ±25 | 40% ±20 | 10% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 24 | 74% ±13 | 86% ±25 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 1h | 3.08% | 2.38% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,889.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,889.94 | 2,505.3 | 3,110.09 | expired | -1.89% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 2,889.94 | 2,598.86 | 2,928.16 | stop | -1.89% |