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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,403.77 (+63.7%) | 51 | <0.1% | 11m | 20.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 3% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 2,928.46 (+40.8%) | 33 | 2.1% | 22h | 2.2d ago · 67× | 2% ±9 | 33% ±15 | 15% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±22 | 4% | > 7d | 1.50% | 1.37% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,442.87 (+17.5%) | 14 | 0.4% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 3% ±4 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±12 | 23% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 520 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,436.48–2,686.64 (+17.1%) | 14 | 0.4% | 3h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 1% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±14 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 303 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,329.46 (+12.0%) | 9.6 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 31% ±26 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 499 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,236.35–2,336.41 (+7.5%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 4h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 14% ±9 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 28% ±19 | 49% ±33 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.88% | 375 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,169.63 (+4.3%) | 3.5 | 0.9% | 2h | 104.5d ago · 18× | 16% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±17 | 26% ±35 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 2,109.08 (+1.4%) | 1.1 | 2.0% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 79× | 81% ±16 | 32% ±14 | 13% ±10 | 55% ±15 | 44 | 59% ±8 | 81% ±15 | 87% ±23 | 91% ±28 | 3h | 1.98% | 1.64% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,088.79 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 104× | 91% ±10 | 52% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 41% ±12 | 60 | 76% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±20 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.45% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,079.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,006.37 (-3.5%) | 2.8 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 39% ±13 | 59% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 32% ±12 | 60 | 11% ±3 | 39% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 71% ±32 | 1.6d | 2.57% | 1.46% | 341 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,840.74 (-11.5%) | 9.2 | 0.4% | 38m | 2.0d ago · 59× | 9% ±6 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 29% ±16 | 54% ±27 | 6.1d | 2.41% | 2.60% | 535 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,079.82 | 2,006.37 | 2,329.46 | expired | -0.50% |