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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,403.77 (+61.8%) | 54 | <0.1% | 10m | 20.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±9 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 4% | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 2,928.46 (+39.2%) | 34 | 2.0% | 20h | 2.3d ago · 67× | 2% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 15% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | > 7d | 1.50% | 1.37% | 47 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,442.87 (+16.1%) | 14 | 0.3% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 3% ±4 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±12 | 23% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 520 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,436.48–2,686.64 (+15.8%) | 14 | 0.4% | 3h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 1% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±14 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 303 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,322.87 (+10.4%) | 9.1 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 4% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 33% ±27 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 507 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,236.35–2,336.41 (+6.3%) | 5.5 | 1.1% | 4h | 8.8d ago · 82× | 15% ±9 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 30% ±20 | 49% ±33 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.88% | 381 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,169.63 (+3.1%) | 2.7 | 0.8% | 2h | 104.5d ago · 18× | 25% ±25 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±5 | 23% ±24 | 37% ±47 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 2,109.08 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 1.9% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 79× | 93% ±11 | 31% ±14 | 15% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 45 | 79% ±7 | 93% ±11 | 95% ±16 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.66% | 118 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,103.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,088.79 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 2.0% | 12h | 2.1d ago · 106× | 84% ±12 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 73 | 69% ±6 | 84% ±12 | 90% ±18 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.18% | 1.25% | 206 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,006.37 (-4.6%) | 4.0 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 35% ±11 | 59% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 32% ±12 | 60 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±11 | 58% ±19 | 74% ±26 | 2.0d | 2.57% | 1.46% | 451 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,866.92 (-11.2%) | 9.8 | 0.5% | 56m | 2.0d ago · 59× | 8% ±6 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 28% ±16 | 53% ±27 | 6.3d | 2.41% | 2.60% | 535 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,103.49 | 1,866.92 | 2,442.87 | expired | -0.96% |