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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,455.01–2,627.57 (+24.7%) | 26 | 0.2% | 2h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 303 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,440.63 (+24.0%) | 25 | 0.2% | 2h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 13% ±21 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 409 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,282.45–2,311.21 (+15.9%) | 17 | 1.0% | 6h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 5% ±8 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±18 | 28% ±44 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,085.44 (+5.9%) | 6.2 | 2.3% | 23h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 11% ±7 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±17 | 47% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 485 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,017.46 (+2.5%) | 2.6 | 1.9% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 44% ±13 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±13 | 64% ±22 | 82% ±27 | 1.3d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 327 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 1,971.05–1,975.87 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 104× | 90% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 63 | 78% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 93% ±15 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.52% | 194 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,968.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,930.02–1,931.53 (-1.9%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 45% ±15 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 38% ±12 | 64 | 19% ±5 | 46% ±14 | 65% ±24 | 72% ±33 | 1.6d | 2.59% | 1.77% | 277 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,851.06 (-6.0%) | 6.2 | 0.3% | 30m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 9% ±7 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 25% ±19 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 367 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,968.5 | 1,931.53 | 2,085.44 | target | +1.54% |