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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,452.32–2,631.4 (+24.5%) | 27 | 0.2% | 2h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 298 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,424.77 (+23.1%) | 25 | 0.3% | 2h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 12% ±20 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 409 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,287.02–2,314.57 (+16.1%) | 17 | 0.9% | 5h | 8.8d ago · 82× | 2% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±16 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,085.44 (+5.9%) | 6.4 | 2.3% | 22h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 10% ±7 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 28% ±17 | 45% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 511 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,017.46 (+2.4%) | 2.6 | 1.9% | 14h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 44% ±13 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 10% ±3 | 44% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 82% ±27 | 1.3d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 334 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,971.05–1,975.87 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 104× | 92% ±10 | 45% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 79% ±6 | 92% ±9 | 94% ±14 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.57% | 190 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,969.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 1,963.31 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.6% | 23h | 2.1d ago · 72× | 84% ±16 | 59% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 72% ±8 | 85% ±16 | 89% ±25 | 91% ±32 | 1h | 2.86% | 1.09% | 115 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,930.02–1,931.53 (-1.9%) | 2.1 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 42% ±14 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 38% ±12 | 64 | 16% ±4 | 43% ±14 | 63% ±24 | 70% ±34 | 1.9d | 2.59% | 1.77% | 293 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,860 (-5.6%) | 6.0 | 0.3% | 29m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 8% ±7 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 25% ±19 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 360 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,969.5 | 1,930.02 | 2,017.46 | target | +0.54% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,969.5 | 1,931.53 | 2,085.44 | target | +0.54% |