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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,456.01–2,669.34 (+27.9%) | 29 | 0.2% | 1h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 267 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,402.68 (+25.1%) | 26 | 0.4% | 2h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 12% ±20 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 400 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,282.68–2,309.35 (+18.8%) | 20 | 1.0% | 6h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 3% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 6% ±18 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,077.12 (+8.1%) | 8.4 | 2.1% | 16h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±13 | 37% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 649 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,011.9 (+4.7%) | 4.9 | 2.0% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 23% ±9 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 58% ±28 | 4.8d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 511 → 12 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,969.35–1,971.57 (+2.5%) | 2.6 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 104× | 35% ±16 | 43% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 63 | 11% ±4 | 35% ±16 | 52% ±28 | 66% ±41 | 2.8d | 2.06% | 1.52% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,923.21 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 8h | 21.9d ago · 46× | 91% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 53% ±19 | 27 | 82% ±11 | 91% ±21 | 96% ±29 | 96% | 1h | 3.10% | 2.63% | 43 → 1 | |
| at post · 1,920.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,920.91 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 91% ±13 | 58% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 33% ±12 | 64 | 74% ±8 | 92% ±13 | 95% ±17 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 2.67% | 1.46% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,869.35 (-2.7%) | 2.8 | 0.4% | 51m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 36% ±17 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 11% ±5 | 36% ±17 | 50% ±31 | 56% ±49 | 3.0d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 1,920.95 | 1,767.04 | 1,971.05 | stop | -2.43% |