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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-19 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,456.01–2,669.34 (+26.0%) | 27 | 0.2% | 1h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 284 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,402.68 (+23.3%) | 25 | 0.4% | 2h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±7 | 13% ±21 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 415 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,296.01–2,309.35 (+17.8%) | 19 | 1.0% | 5h | 8.8d ago · 82× | 2% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±17 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 136 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,085.44 (+7.0%) | 7.4 | 2.3% | 23h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 8% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±15 | 41% ±26 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 598 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,012.31 (+3.2%) | 3.4 | 2.0% | 14h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 34% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 5% ±2 | 34% ±11 | 53% ±20 | 74% ±27 | 2.3d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 410 → 10 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,969.35–1,977.04 (+1.0%) | 1.1 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 104× | 74% ±15 | 43% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±12 | 64 | 49% ±7 | 74% ±15 | 84% ±21 | 90% ±27 | 5h | 2.07% | 1.50% | 205 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,949.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,925.65–1,931.53 (-0.9%) | 1.0 | 1.8% | 10h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 60% ±15 | 55% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 39% ±6 | 61% ±15 | 75% ±23 | 79% ±33 | 9h | 2.66% | 1.67% | 246 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,869.35 (-4.1%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 50m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 22% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±2 | 21% ±12 | 38% ±25 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 257 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,949.12 | 1,971.05 | 1,903.83 | target | +1.07% |