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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,456.01–2,669.34 (+24.8%) | 26 | 0.2% | 1h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 307 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,362.68 (+20.1%) | 21 | 0.4% | 1h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±9 | 18% ±23 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 471 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,282.68–2,322.68 (+16.0%) | 17 | 1.0% | 6h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 3% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±16 | 25% ±42 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 154 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,064.2 (+4.9%) | 5.2 | 1.9% | 12h | 2.3d ago · 70× | 14% ±8 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 33% ±20 | 51% ±33 | 6.8d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 392 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,010.29 (+2.2%) | 2.3 | 2.0% | 13h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 45% ±14 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 13% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 65% ±23 | 83% ±28 | 1.2d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 280 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 1,973.01 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 104× | 92% ±10 | 52% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 40% ±12 | 64 | 77% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 94% ±14 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.49% | 189 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,967.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,956.02–1,964.78 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 2.0d ago · 85× | 86% ±14 | 50% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 38% ±12 | 58 | 72% ±7 | 86% ±14 | 91% ±20 | 93% ±24 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.37% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,932.5–1,933.71 (-1.7%) | 1.8 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 49% ±14 | 55% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 21% ±5 | 49% ±14 | 68% ±24 | 75% ±32 | 1.3d | 2.66% | 1.67% | 278 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,882.69 (-4.3%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 22.0d ago · 30× | 18% ±11 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 35% ±24 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 268 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 1,967.71 | 2,064.2 | 1,932.5 | expired | +0.90% |