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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-20 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,442.87–2,678.49 (+24.0%) | 27 | 0.2% | 2h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 301 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,351.24 (+19.4%) | 22 | 0.6% | 4h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±9 | 18% ±23 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 468 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,259.61–2,311.97 (+14.7%) | 16 | 0.8% | 4h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 4% ±8 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±18 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,061.62 (+4.7%) | 5.2 | 1.8% | 12h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 14% ±8 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 33% ±20 | 51% ±33 | 6.9d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 392 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,006.26 (+1.8%) | 2.1 | 1.9% | 13h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 47% ±15 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 17% ±5 | 47% ±15 | 67% ±25 | 84% ±30 | 1.2d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 1,970.99 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 104× | 93% ±10 | 52% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 40% ±12 | 64 | 81% ±6 | 93% ±9 | 95% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.49% | 169 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,969.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 1,964.78 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 2.0d ago · 85× | 89% ±12 | 43% ±13 | 15% ±9 | 43% ±13 | 58 | 75% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±17 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.60% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 1,952 (-0.9%) | 1.0 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 72× | 79% ±16 | 58% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 32% ±13 | 47 | 59% ±8 | 79% ±16 | 89% ±21 | 91% ±28 | 2h | 2.85% | 1.10% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,929.92–1,933.71 (-1.8%) | 2.1 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 43% ±14 | 55% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 16% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 64% ±24 | 71% ±34 | 1.8d | 2.66% | 1.67% | 285 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,880.01 (-4.6%) | 5.1 | 0.4% | 1h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 13% ±9 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 31% ±22 | 43% ±37 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 305 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 1,969.91 | 2,061.62 | 1,929.92 | expired | +0.16% |