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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-21 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,442.87–2,678.49 (+24.5%) | 28 | 0.2% | 2h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 9% ±21 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 285 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,338.15 (+19.2%) | 22 | 0.7% | 5h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±9 | 17% ±22 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 467 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,259.61–2,311.97 (+15.2%) | 17 | 0.8% | 4h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 3% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±16 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 154 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,061.62 (+5.1%) | 5.8 | 1.7% | 11h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 12% ±7 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±18 | 47% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 454 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,004.24 (+2.1%) | 2.4 | 1.9% | 13h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 44% ±13 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 12% ±4 | 44% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 81% ±27 | 1.4d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 315 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,966.96–1,967.37 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 104× | 92% ±9 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 64 | 78% ±6 | 93% ±9 | 94% ±14 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 2.18% | 1.54% | 189 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,962.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 1,952 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 72× | 83% ±16 | 58% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 32% ±13 | 47 | 68% ±8 | 83% ±16 | 89% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 2.85% | 1.10% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,929.92–1,933.71 (-1.5%) | 1.7 | 2.0% | 12h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 51% ±15 | 55% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 23% ±5 | 52% ±14 | 69% ±23 | 75% ±32 | 1.1d | 2.64% | 1.57% | 278 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,880.01 (-4.2%) | 4.8 | 0.4% | 1h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 17% ±11 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 34% ±24 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 276 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,962.29 | 1,933.71 | 2,004.24 | expired | -0.50% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,962.29 | 1,929.92 | 2,061.62 | expired | -0.50% |