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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-01 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,458.27–2,623.35 (+22.0%) | 14 | 0.3% | 2h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 1% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 20% ±28 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 343 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,128.1 (+5.6%) | 3.5 | 2.1% | 11h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 30% ±18 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 4% ±3 | 30% ±18 | 51% ±33 | 68% ±46 | 2.8d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 157 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,036.69 (+1.1%) | 0.7 | 3.8% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 70× | 79% ±19 | 51% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 62% ±9 | 79% ±19 | 84% ±29 | 87% ±38 | 2h | 1.98% | 1.64% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,014.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 1,997.75 (-0.8%) | 0.5 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 65× | 91% ±16 | 43% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 37 | 77% ±10 | 91% ±16 | 91% ±28 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 1.86% | 1.97% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,967.67–1,968.17 (-2.3%) | 1.4 | 7.1% | 3.5d | 2.0d ago · 85× | 72% ±16 | 49% ±13 | 13% ±8 | 38% ±12 | 61 | 45% ±7 | 72% ±16 | 84% ±23 | 90% ±29 | 5h | 2.25% | 1.42% | 171 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,888.03 (-6.3%) | 3.9 | 2.4% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 29% ±11 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 51% ±22 | 68% ±31 | 2.8d | 2.51% | 2.04% | 366 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 1,861.48 (-7.6%) | 4.7 | 2.4% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 32% ±13 | 53% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±11 | 82 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 51% ±25 | 74% ±32 | 2.8d | 2.34% | 1.67% | 278 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,839.2 (-8.7%) | 5.4 | 1.5% | 6h | 22.0d ago · 30× | 12% ±8 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 31% ±21 | 46% ±35 | > 7d | 3.24% | 2.35% | 348 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,813.7 (-10.0%) | 6.2 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 20% ±8 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 46% ±18 | 68% ±25 | 3.8d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 558 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,014.86 | 1,967.67 | 2,063.44 | target | +2.12% |