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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,458.27–2,623.35 (+23.8%) | 16 | 0.2% | 2h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±10 | 15% ±23 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 390 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,128.1 (+7.2%) | 4.9 | 1.9% | 9h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 17% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 33% ±26 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 230 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,036.69 (+2.6%) | 1.8 | 3.4% | 20h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 66% ±20 | 51% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 35% ±8 | 67% ±20 | 76% ±31 | 82% ±43 | 10h | 1.98% | 1.64% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,001.29 (+0.8%) | 0.6 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 2.5d ago · 97× | 78% ±15 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 63% ±7 | 78% ±15 | 91% ±19 | 95% ±22 | 2h | 2.13% | 1.76% | 167 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,985.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,967.67–1,968.17 (-0.9%) | 0.6 | 6.4% | 3.2d | 2.1d ago · 85× | 85% ±12 | 49% ±13 | 13% ±8 | 38% ±12 | 61 | 69% ±6 | 85% ±12 | 91% ±17 | 94% ±21 | 1h | 2.25% | 1.42% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,891.57 (-4.7%) | 3.2 | 2.2% | 11h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 31% ±12 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±12 | 52% ±23 | 65% ±33 | 2.8d | 2.51% | 2.04% | 327 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 1,861.48 (-6.2%) | 4.3 | 2.2% | 18h | 2.1d ago · 106× | 35% ±14 | 53% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±11 | 82 | 7% ±3 | 35% ±14 | 54% ±24 | 77% ±31 | 2.3d | 2.34% | 1.67% | 284 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,839.2 (-7.4%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 5h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 14% ±9 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±9 | 34% ±22 | 48% ±35 | > 7d | 3.24% | 2.35% | 319 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,813.7 (-8.6%) | 5.9 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 22% ±8 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±8 | 47% ±18 | 68% ±25 | 3.6d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 560 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,985.24 | 1,861.48 | 2,035.06 | expired | +1.88% |