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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,190.99–2,237.15 (+6.2%) | 4.4 | 0.6% | 1h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 26% ±15 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 5% ±3 | 26% ±15 | 44% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 4.8d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 188 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,105.27 (+2.0%) | 1.5 | 2.7% | 17h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 61% ±23 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 32% ±9 | 61% ±23 | 75% ±35 | 92% ±37 | 12h | 2.07% | 1.73% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,063.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,047.3–2,061.5 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 65× | 84% ±19 | 49% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 46% ±16 | 38 | 67% ±10 | 84% ±19 | 89% ±28 | 89% ±43 | 2h | 1.92% | 2.03% | 89 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,962–1,970.1 (-4.5%) | 3.2 | 8.4% | 3.7d | 2.0d ago · 106× | 44% ±14 | 51% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 83 | 11% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 64% ±24 | 80% ±30 | 1.3d | 2.35% | 1.54% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,938.3 (-6.1%) | 4.3 | 6.0% | 1.8d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 32% ±10 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±10 | 58% ±18 | 74% ±25 | 2.0d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 524 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,905.72–1,907.46 (-7.6%) | 5.4 | 3.2% | 17h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 15% ±8 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 36% ±18 | 56% ±28 | 4.4d | 2.77% | 2.15% | 500 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 2,063.26 | 2,186.46 | 1,962 | target | +2.59% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,063.26 | 2,204.84 | 1,967.67 | expired | +2.59% |