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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,190.99–2,237.15 (+6.7%) | 4.6 | 0.7% | 2h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 24% ±15 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 5% ±3 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±29 | 61% ±43 | 5.1d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,105.27 (+2.5%) | 1.7 | 2.8% | 18h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 55% ±23 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 24% ±8 | 55% ±23 | 73% ±36 | 90% ±34 | 19h | 2.07% | 1.73% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,064.66 (+0.6%) | 0.4 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 2.4d ago · 97× | 80% ±16 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 66% ±8 | 80% ±16 | 92% ±19 | 95% ±22 | 2h | 2.32% | 1.76% | 152 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,053.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,050.84 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 1.6d | 12.8d ago · 55× | 82% ±23 | 57% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 40% ±17 | 32 | 70% ±11 | 82% ±23 | 90% ±30 | 90% ±42 | 1h | 2.17% | 2.02% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 1,962–1,970.1 (-4.1%) | 2.8 | 8.7% | 3.9d | 2.0d ago · 106× | 50% ±15 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 84 | 14% ±4 | 50% ±15 | 67% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 1.1d | 2.39% | 1.49% | 272 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,941.46 (-5.4%) | 3.7 | 6.9% | 2.3d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 37% ±10 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 61% ±18 | 76% ±24 | 1.7d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 491 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,905.72–1,907.46 (-7.1%) | 4.9 | 3.3% | 17h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 18% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±9 | 40% ±19 | 59% ±29 | 3.9d | 2.77% | 2.15% | 460 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,053.31 | 1,962 | 2,086.84 | stop | -4.08% |