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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,100.61 (+1.0%) | 0.7 | 3.3% | 21h | 20.1d ago · 44× | 85% ±20 | 42% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 60% ±11 | 85% ±20 | 90% ±29 | 93% ±35 | 2h | 1.95% | 1.85% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,079.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,071.58–2,078.43 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 2.1d ago · 65× | 85% ±22 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 77% ±11 | 85% ±22 | 90% ±35 | 90% | 1h | 2.01% | 1.94% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 1,921.41–2,026.46 (-2.5%) | 1.8 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 84× | 57% ±17 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 34% ±12 | 65 | 22% ±6 | 59% ±17 | 79% ±24 | 91% ±26 | 18h | 1.92% | 1.64% | 189 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,959.41–1,967.75 (-5.4%) | 3.9 | 8.4% | 3.7d | 1.7d ago · 106× | 38% ±14 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 84 | 9% ±3 | 37% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 76% ±32 | 2.3d | 2.39% | 1.49% | 287 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,900.9–1,914.45 (-7.9%) | 5.7 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 85× | 16% ±7 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 68 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 38% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 4.1d | 2.75% | 1.81% | 572 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,079.17 | 1,967.75 | 2,135.09 | target | +5.24% |