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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,200.37–2,224.49 (+5.2%) | 3.9 | 0.3% | 43m | 11.8d ago · 49× | 32% ±17 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 6% ±4 | 32% ±17 | 50% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 3.2d | 4.63% | 1.21% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,097.85 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 23h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 90% ±21 | 42% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 73% ±12 | 90% ±21 | 94% ±27 | 96% | 1h | 1.95% | 1.85% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,091.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,037.55–2,085.79 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 3.6d ago · 84× | 90% ±12 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 34% ±12 | 65 | 75% ±7 | 91% ±12 | 93% ±17 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.64% | 146 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,078.88–2,082.46 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 2.3d ago · 65× | 87% ±18 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 71% ±10 | 87% ±18 | 91% ±25 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 2.01% | 1.94% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,959.41–1,968.19 (-5.9%) | 4.4 | 8.4% | 3.6d | 1.9d ago · 106× | 32% ±13 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 84 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±13 | 52% ±24 | 73% ±33 | 2.9d | 2.39% | 1.49% | 296 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,900.9–1,914.45 (-8.5%) | 6.3 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 14% ±7 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 68 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 36% ±17 | 58% ±26 | 4.4d | 2.75% | 1.81% | 583 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 2,091.42 | 2,255.85 | 1,967.43 | stop | -5.43% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,091.42 | 2,272.98 | 1,959.41 | stop | -5.43% |