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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,075.23–2,085.26 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 2.1d ago · 97× | 74% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 57% ±6 | 75% ±14 | 86% ±20 | 92% ±24 | 3h | 2.34% | 1.57% | 223 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,066 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,062.29 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 6.0d ago · 38× | 95% ±15 | 40% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 55% ±24 | 17 | 87% ±10 | 96% ±15 | 96% ±29 | 96% | 1h | 2.25% | 1.62% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 2,054.22–2,062.29 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 84× | 91% ±11 | 45% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 77% ±7 | 91% ±11 | 94% ±16 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.65% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,022.3 (-2.1%) | 1.9 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 1.8d ago · 106× | 60% ±16 | 54% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 26% ±6 | 60% ±16 | 74% ±26 | 87% ±30 | 15h | 2.38% | 1.26% | 205 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 1,959.34–1,967.47 (-4.8%) | 4.4 | 8.7% | 3.4d | 1.7d ago · 85× | 30% ±9 | 53% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 36% ±11 | 69 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±9 | 54% ±17 | 73% ±23 | 2.6d | 2.47% | 1.48% | 579 → 14 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,940.03 (-6.1%) | 5.6 | 6.1% | 1.9d | 1.7d ago · 59× | 16% ±8 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 40% ±17 | 65% ±26 | 4.3d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 550 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,921.08 (-7.0%) | 6.4 | 3.5% | 22h | 21.8d ago · 30× | 8% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 25% ±17 | 43% ±29 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 460 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,824.24–1,840.38 (-10.9%) | 10 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 5% ±6 | 52% ±19 | 16% ±14 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 10% ±14 | 20% ±30 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.93% | 311 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 2,066 | 2,207.21 | 1,967.47 | expired | +0.13% |