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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,086.09 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 19h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 74% ±14 | 50% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 56% ±6 | 74% ±14 | 88% ±18 | 94% ±21 | 3h | 2.36% | 1.69% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,075.23 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 2.1d ago · 70× | 78% ±20 | 52% ±15 | 2% ±5 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 62% ±9 | 79% ±19 | 83% ±30 | 88% ±44 | 2h | 2.31% | 1.39% | 101 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,067.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,062.29–2,066.86 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 1.8d ago · 106× | 92% ±10 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 86 | 81% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 94% ±14 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 2.32% | 1.35% | 191 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,054.22–2,062.29 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 84× | 91% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 69 | 73% ±7 | 91% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.67% | 164 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 1,965.6–1,967.47 (-4.8%) | 4.7 | 8.2% | 3.2d | 1.7d ago · 85× | 28% ±9 | 53% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 36% ±11 | 69 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 52% ±17 | 72% ±24 | 2.8d | 2.47% | 1.48% | 579 → 14 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,940.03 (-6.2%) | 6.0 | 5.8% | 1.8d | 1.7d ago · 59× | 15% ±7 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 4.3d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 577 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,921.08 (-7.1%) | 6.9 | 3.3% | 21h | 21.8d ago · 30× | 7% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 24% ±16 | 42% ±29 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 477 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 1,828.28–1,840.38 (-11.0%) | 11 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 3% ±5 | 52% ±19 | 16% ±14 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±12 | 18% ±27 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.93% | 315 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,067.49 | 1,967.43 | 2,099.57 | expired | +0.29% |