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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,098.6–2,114.74 (+1.4%) | 1.5 | 0.7% | 4h | 11.7d ago · 49× | 52% ±20 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 24% ±7 | 52% ±20 | 66% ±33 | 79% ±46 | 21h | 4.63% | 1.21% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,085.81 (+0.8%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 18h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 74% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 45% ±12 | 64 | 56% ±7 | 74% ±14 | 88% ±18 | 94% ±20 | 3h | 2.38% | 1.68% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,071.58 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 70× | 84% ±20 | 53% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 72% ±10 | 85% ±19 | 88% ±28 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.36% | 84 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,068.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D POC | 2,059.8–2,062.29 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 1.9d ago · 106× | 89% ±10 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 86 | 77% ±5 | 89% ±10 | 92% ±14 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 2.32% | 1.35% | 233 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,017.91–2,025.98 (-2.1%) | 2.1 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 84× | 56% ±17 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 69 | 17% ±5 | 56% ±17 | 78% ±25 | 89% ±27 | 21h | 1.92% | 1.67% | 201 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,985.62 (-4.0%) | 4.1 | 5.8% | 2.0d | 1.8d ago · 85× | 33% ±10 | 60% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±10 | 59% ±17 | 75% ±24 | 2.0d | 2.71% | 1.48% | 555 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,967.43–1,967.47 (-4.9%) | 5.0 | 7.9% | 3.1d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 27% ±12 | 49% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 38% ±12 | 66 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±12 | 48% ±24 | 71% ±33 | 3.4d | 2.34% | 1.48% | 306 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,940.03 (-6.2%) | 6.3 | 5.5% | 1.7d | 1.8d ago · 59× | 14% ±7 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 4.3d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 591 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,921.08 (-7.1%) | 7.3 | 3.2% | 21h | 21.9d ago · 30× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±15 | 40% ±28 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 502 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,068.77 | 1,967.43 | 2,095.26 | stop | -3.10% |