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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,098.6–2,114.74 (+1.8%) | 1.8 | 0.8% | 4h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 50% ±21 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 19% ±7 | 51% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 80% ±45 | 1.0d | 4.63% | 1.21% | 137 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,083.89 (+1.1%) | 1.1 | 2.7% | 21h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 70% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 45% ±12 | 64 | 50% ±6 | 71% ±14 | 85% ±19 | 93% ±20 | 4h | 2.38% | 1.68% | 239 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,062.29–2,071.58 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 70× | 81% ±18 | 51% ±15 | 5% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 42 | 66% ±9 | 82% ±17 | 86% ±27 | 92% ±31 | 2h | 2.33% | 1.44% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,061.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,059.8 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 2.0d ago · 106× | 90% ±10 | 54% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 80% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 93% ±15 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.38% | 1.26% | 203 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,021.94–2,025.98 (-1.7%) | 1.7 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 84× | 63% ±16 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 70 | 26% ±6 | 63% ±16 | 80% ±23 | 91% ±25 | 14h | 1.92% | 1.72% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,983.7 (-3.8%) | 3.7 | 6.5% | 2.2d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 36% ±10 | 60% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 60% ±18 | 75% ±25 | 1.8d | 2.71% | 1.48% | 524 → 12 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,967.43–1,967.47 (-4.6%) | 4.5 | 8.1% | 3.1d | 2.0d ago · 85× | 31% ±13 | 49% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 38% ±12 | 66 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±13 | 53% ±24 | 73% ±33 | 2.9d | 2.34% | 1.48% | 288 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,936.37 (-6.1%) | 6.0 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 1.9d ago · 59× | 15% ±7 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 4.3d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 582 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,921.08 (-6.8%) | 6.7 | 3.3% | 21h | 22.0d ago · 30× | 7% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 24% ±16 | 43% ±29 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 478 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,061.44 | 1,967.43 | 2,095.91 | stop | -2.38% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,061.44 | 1,967.47 | 2,087.71 | stop | -2.38% |