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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+2.5%) | 2.6 | 0.6% | 2h | 11.7d ago · 49× | 37% ±17 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 10% ±4 | 37% ±16 | 55% ±29 | 71% ±40 | 2.1d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,179.75–2,188.23 (+1.2%) | 1.2 | 2.5% | 12h | 2.1d ago · 70× | 70% ±17 | 51% ±14 | 7% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 48 | 39% ±7 | 69% ±17 | 79% ±25 | 89% ±31 | 9h | 2.32% | 1.42% | 175 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,154.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,145.29 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 85× | 86% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 15% ±8 | 41% ±12 | 70 | 72% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 91% ±16 | 93% ±22 | 1h | 2.04% | 1.80% | 217 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,031.21–2,088.71 (-3.1%) | 3.2 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 84× | 43% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 80 | 9% ±3 | 43% ±14 | 68% ±23 | 82% ±28 | 1.3d | 1.95% | 1.65% | 294 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,084.93 (-3.2%) | 3.3 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 2.1d ago · 65× | 40% ±18 | 43% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 51% ±15 | 44 | 8% ±4 | 39% ±18 | 64% ±30 | 75% ±42 | 1.5d | 1.78% | 2.04% | 173 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,067.15–2,067.54 (-4.0%) | 4.2 | 6.2% | 2.0d | 1.8d ago · 106× | 35% ±13 | 54% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±10 | 94 | 8% ±3 | 34% ±13 | 57% ±23 | 76% ±30 | 2.0d | 2.46% | 1.32% | 324 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,054.98 (-4.6%) | 4.8 | 5.2% | 1.4d | 1.7d ago · 59× | 21% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 45% ±18 | 65% ±26 | 3.9d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 534 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,992.88 (-7.5%) | 7.7 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 21.8d ago · 30× | 6% ±5 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 38% ±25 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 592 → 14 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,978.27 (-8.2%) | 8.4 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 85× | 12% ±6 | 61% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 74 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 31% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 5.2d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 613 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,154.58 | 2,188.23 | 2,054.98 | stop | -4.76% |