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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-02 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+8.1%) | 6.9 | 0.6% | 3h | 11.6d ago · 49× | 16% ±11 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 34% ±24 | 47% ±37 | > 7d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 276 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,181.66–2,189.33 (+6.8%) | 5.7 | 2.9% | 14h | 2.0d ago · 70× | 12% ±7 | 51% ±14 | 7% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 30% ±16 | 50% ±27 | 6.9d | 2.32% | 1.42% | 534 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 2,139.52–2,146.08 (+4.7%) | 4.0 | 5.6% | 1.6d | 1.8d ago · 97× | 25% ±9 | 46% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 46% ±12 | 69 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 62% ±26 | 3.4d | 2.22% | 1.67% | 540 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 2,103.08–2,160.58 (+2.9%) | 2.5 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 8.3d ago · 82× | 46% ±13 | 51% ±12 | 20% ±10 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 13% ±4 | 46% ±13 | 60% ±23 | 67% ±33 | 1.2d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 330 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,066.86–2,067.15 (+1.1%) | 1.0 | 7.2% | 2.3d | 1.8d ago · 104× | 84% ±10 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 75 | 64% ±5 | 84% ±10 | 91% ±13 | 95% ±16 | 2h | 2.19% | 1.59% | 298 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,052.51 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 5.7% | 1.5d | 21.6d ago · 46× | 87% ±22 | 41% ±17 | 5% ±8 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 76% ±11 | 87% ±22 | 93% ±29 | 93% | 1h | 2.60% | 2.66% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,043.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,014.96 (-1.4%) | 1.2 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.6d ago · 85× | 63% ±14 | 61% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 74 | 41% ±6 | 63% ±14 | 80% ±20 | 85% ±26 | 7h | 2.72% | 1.46% | 286 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,002.46 (-2.0%) | 1.7 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 21.7d ago · 30× | 49% ±20 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 22% ±7 | 49% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 69% ±52 | 1.2d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 139 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,043.49 | 1,914.34 | 2,146.08 | expired | -0.50% |