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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+7.2%) | 9.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 11.5d ago · 49× | 8% ±8 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 23% ±19 | 37% ±33 | > 7d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 322 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,184.54 (+6.1%) | 7.6 | 2.0% | 10h | 20.0d ago · 44× | 6% ±5 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 23% ±15 | 47% ±27 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.53% | 549 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,150.03 (+4.4%) | 5.5 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 2.0d ago · 70× | 13% ±7 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 31% ±17 | 52% ±28 | 6.7d | 2.39% | 1.33% | 514 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,107.87–2,160.58 (+2.3%) | 2.9 | 2.9% | 20h | 8.3d ago · 82× | 40% ±12 | 51% ±12 | 20% ±10 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 10% ±3 | 40% ±12 | 55% ±21 | 64% ±31 | 1.6d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 372 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,079.55 (+1.0%) | 1.2 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 2.0d ago · 97× | 66% ±14 | 53% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 45% ±6 | 66% ±14 | 81% ±20 | 90% ±24 | 6h | 2.35% | 1.69% | 272 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,061.74–2,067.15 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.4% | 1.7d | 1.8d ago · 79× | 90% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 49% ±12 | 62 | 79% ±6 | 90% ±11 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.59% | 157 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,059.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,057.64 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.2% | 1.6d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 90% ±10 | 53% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±10 | 95 | 78% ±5 | 90% ±10 | 94% ±13 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.36% | 1.28% | 229 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,012.04–2,018.25 (-2.0%) | 2.5 | 2.2% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 59× | 32% ±12 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 50 | 9% ±3 | 31% ±12 | 50% ±23 | 60% ±34 | 3.7d | 2.84% | 1.75% | 328 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,980.37 (-3.9%) | 4.8 | 2.1% | 22h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 26% ±8 | 61% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 74 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±8 | 51% ±16 | 69% ±23 | 2.9d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 651 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,059.85 | 2,018.25 | 2,150.03 | expired | +0.50% |