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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-03 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+7.8%) | 9.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 11.5d ago · 49× | 7% ±7 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 21% ±18 | 35% ±33 | > 7d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 334 → 8 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,184.54 (+6.6%) | 8.0 | 2.1% | 10h | 20.0d ago · 44× | 6% ±5 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±15 | 46% ±27 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.53% | 566 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,150.03 (+4.9%) | 5.9 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 2.0d ago · 70× | 12% ±7 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 31% ±16 | 50% ±27 | 6.9d | 2.39% | 1.33% | 561 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 2,103.08–2,160.58 (+2.6%) | 3.2 | 2.7% | 20h | 8.3d ago · 82× | 36% ±12 | 51% ±12 | 20% ±10 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 7% ±3 | 36% ±12 | 51% ±21 | 61% ±32 | 2.6d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 387 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,084.16 (+1.7%) | 2.1 | 3.0% | 22h | 2.0d ago · 97× | 46% ±14 | 53% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 16% ±4 | 47% ±14 | 65% ±23 | 84% ±27 | 1.2d | 2.35% | 1.69% | 307 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,057.64–2,067.15 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 5.4% | 1.8d | 1.8d ago · 104× | 87% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±11 | 75 | 70% ±6 | 87% ±10 | 93% ±14 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.61% | 259 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,049.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,012.04–2,018.25 (-1.5%) | 1.8 | 2.3% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 59× | 43% ±15 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 50 | 16% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 58% ±26 | 67% ±38 | 1.7d | 2.84% | 1.75% | 253 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,980.37 (-3.4%) | 4.0 | 2.2% | 23h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±9 | 61% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 74 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±9 | 58% ±17 | 72% ±23 | 2.0d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 612 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,049.05 | 1,980.37 | 2,084.16 | expired | +0.01% |
| 14d | POC | short | 2,049.05 | 2,018.25 | 2,150.03 | expired | +0.01% |