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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-06 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+3.1%) | 3.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 30% ±15 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 5% ±3 | 30% ±15 | 50% ±28 | 65% ±42 | 3.4d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 220 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,179.75 (+1.7%) | 2.1 | 2.3% | 10h | 19.9d ago · 44× | 48% ±20 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 15% ±6 | 48% ±20 | 68% ±32 | 88% ±37 | 1.2d | 2.24% | 1.53% | 144 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,150.03 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 1.8d ago · 70× | 78% ±18 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 62% ±9 | 79% ±17 | 84% ±27 | 89% ±35 | 2h | 2.39% | 1.33% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,142.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,107.51 (-1.6%) | 2.0 | 3.0% | 20h | 1.8d ago · 65× | 75% ±19 | 42% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 45 | 31% ±8 | 75% ±19 | 85% ±26 | 88% ±37 | 11h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 119 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,021.63–2,083.92 (-2.7%) | 3.3 | 2.8% | 19h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 43% ±14 | 44% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 81 | 9% ±3 | 43% ±13 | 66% ±22 | 80% ±30 | 1.3d | 1.92% | 1.67% | 309 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,053.83–2,057.56 (-4.0%) | 4.7 | 6.3% | 2.5d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 29% ±12 | 50% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 97 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±12 | 50% ±22 | 71% ±31 | 3.2d | 2.30% | 1.49% | 345 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,012.04–2,019.41 (-5.7%) | 6.9 | 2.7% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 11% ±6 | 55% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 75 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 31% ±15 | 53% ±24 | 4.9d | 2.79% | 1.59% | 675 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,142.51 | 2,053.83 | 2,174.23 | expired | +2.65% |