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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+3.2%) | 3.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 29% ±15 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 5% ±3 | 29% ±15 | 49% ±28 | 64% ±42 | 3.4d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 222 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,179.75 (+1.9%) | 2.2 | 2.3% | 11h | 19.9d ago · 44× | 46% ±20 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 14% ±6 | 46% ±20 | 66% ±33 | 87% ±39 | 1.3d | 2.24% | 1.53% | 146 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,150.03 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 1.8d ago · 70× | 80% ±16 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 63% ±8 | 81% ±16 | 86% ±24 | 90% ±33 | 2h | 2.39% | 1.33% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,139.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,117.3 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 3.7% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 65× | 85% ±16 | 42% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 45 | 55% ±9 | 84% ±16 | 87% ±27 | 91% ±32 | 3h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 112 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,021.63–2,083.92 (-2.6%) | 3.0 | 2.9% | 19h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 45% ±14 | 44% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 81 | 10% ±3 | 45% ±14 | 69% ±22 | 81% ±29 | 1.3d | 1.92% | 1.67% | 298 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,052.86–2,057.56 (-3.8%) | 4.4 | 6.5% | 2.6d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 31% ±12 | 50% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 97 | 6% ±3 | 31% ±12 | 53% ±23 | 72% ±31 | 2.7d | 2.30% | 1.49% | 328 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,012.04–2,019.41 (-5.6%) | 6.4 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 13% ±6 | 55% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 75 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 34% ±15 | 55% ±24 | 4.6d | 2.79% | 1.59% | 684 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,139.26 | 2,053.83 | 2,174.23 | expired | +2.65% |